Marquette Law School Poll: August 30 - September 3, 2020

Likely voters

This file contains likely voter crosstabulations of each non-demographic question with variables for sex, age, education, income, party identification with leaning independents, party identification without leaners, marital status, race and ethnicity, religious service attendance, religious affiliation, born again or evangelical identification, political ideology, and region of the state. To calculate the numeric size of a response, multiply the percent by the subsample size, indicated in the “n” column. Statistics for very small samples (such as “Don’t Know” responses) have very high margins of error and should be disregarded.

Q1: Follow politics

Some people seem to follow what's going on in politics most of the time, whether there's an election going on or not. Others aren't that interested. Would you say you follow what's going on in politics most of the time, some of the time, only now and then, or hardly at all?
Most of the time Some of the time Only now and then Hardly at all n
sex
Male 75 21 3 1 327
Female 73 21 3 3 361
age
18-29 48 46 5 0 84
30-44 66 27 4 3 143
45-59 78 18 3 1 180
60+ 83 12 2 3 278
education
Not HS 32 56 12 0 24
HS 73 23 1 3 172
Some Coll 78 14 5 3 128
AA 67 23 6 4 86
BA+ 77 20 2 1 269
income
Under $40k 66 24 5 4 141
$40k to $74k 75 22 2 1 219
$75k up 78 16 4 1 222
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 77 18 4 1 214
Independent 70 24 3 2 267
Democrat 75 20 2 3 195
Other/None 70 13 17 0 11
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 77 18 4 1 214
Lean Rep 73 24 3 1 103
Ind 56 39 4 0 46
Lean Dem 73 19 3 4 119
Dem 75 20 2 3 195
Other/None 70 13 17 0 11
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 75 20 4 1 317
Independent 56 39 4 0 46
Democrat 74 20 2 4 314
Other/None 70 13 17 0 11
marital status
Married 76 19 2 2 447
Widow/Div/Sep 70 24 4 2 134
Never Married 68 27 5 0 97
NA/Ref 83 0 12 5 9
race and ethnicity
White 75 20 3 2 579
Black 50 37 7 4 28
Hispanic 59 31 1 9 37
Other 74 18 5 3 25
religious service attendance
More than once a week 63 32 1 3 53
Once a week 76 20 3 1 193
Once or twice a month 79 15 5 1 116
A few times a year 79 16 1 4 99
Seldom 63 31 1 4 111
Never 76 18 6 1 107
Don't know 77 23 0 0 3
religious preference
Born again Protestant 67 24 6 3 120
Mainline Protestant 78 19 1 2 196
Roman Catholic 74 20 3 3 184
No religion 68 27 5 0 107
Other religion 85 13 2 0 52
ideology
Very conservative 77 21 2 0 63
Conservative 74 20 5 2 221
Moderate 69 25 3 4 252
Liberal 84 14 0 2 85
Very liberal 86 11 3 0 43
Don't know 59 38 0 3 13
labor union membership
respondent 74 21 3 2 57
another household member 58 31 0 11 39
nobody in household 75 20 3 1 578
Don't know 69 25 0 7 6
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 71 25 1 2 54
Rest of MKE 73 19 4 4 220
MSN 71 22 5 2 126
GB/A 78 20 2 0 137
Rest of state 74 21 2 2 151

Q2: Chances of voting

What are the chances that you will vote in the November 2020 general election for president, Congress, and other offices -- are you absolutely certain to vote, very likely to vote, are the chances 50-50, or don't you think you will vote?
Absolutely certain n
sex
Male 100 327
Female 100 361
age
18-29 100 84
30-44 100 143
45-59 100 180
60+ 100 278
education
Not HS 100 24
HS 100 172
Some Coll 100 128
AA 100 86
BA+ 100 269
income
Under $40k 100 141
$40k to $74k 100 219
$75k up 100 222
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 100 214
Independent 100 267
Democrat 100 195
Other/None 100 11
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 100 214
Lean Rep 100 103
Ind 100 46
Lean Dem 100 119
Dem 100 195
Other/None 100 11
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 100 317
Independent 100 46
Democrat 100 314
Other/None 100 11
marital status
Married 100 447
Widow/Div/Sep 100 134
Never Married 100 97
NA/Ref 100 9
race and ethnicity
White 100 579
Black 100 28
Hispanic 100 37
Other 100 25
religious service attendance
More than once a week 100 53
Once a week 100 193
Once or twice a month 100 116
A few times a year 100 99
Seldom 100 111
Never 100 107
Don't know 100 3
religious preference
Born again Protestant 100 120
Mainline Protestant 100 196
Roman Catholic 100 184
No religion 100 107
Other religion 100 52
ideology
Very conservative 100 63
Conservative 100 221
Moderate 100 252
Liberal 100 85
Very liberal 100 43
Don't know 100 13
labor union membership
respondent 100 57
another household member 100 39
nobody in household 100 578
Don't know 100 6
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 100 54
Rest of MKE 100 220
MSN 100 126
GB/A 100 137
Rest of state 100 151

Q3: Economy over last year

Over the past year, do you feel the economy has gotten better, gotten worse, or stayed about the same?
Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Don't know n
sex
Male 30 47 20 2 327
Female 24 55 18 3 361
age
18-29 17 60 18 5 84
30-44 24 57 18 0 143
45-59 32 48 17 3 180
60+ 29 48 20 1 278
education
Not HS 22 43 34 0 24
HS 31 45 20 2 172
Some Coll 20 47 28 5 128
AA 30 48 18 2 86
BA+ 28 59 12 1 269
income
Under $40k 16 61 19 4 141
$40k to $74k 25 52 19 3 219
$75k up 31 51 17 1 222
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 54 24 20 1 214
Independent 22 55 19 1 267
Democrat 6 76 15 3 195
Other/None 4 33 21 32 11
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 54 24 20 1 214
Lean Rep 43 31 20 2 103
Ind 15 57 20 5 46
Lean Dem 5 76 19 0 119
Dem 6 76 15 3 195
Other/None 4 33 21 32 11
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 51 26 20 1 317
Independent 15 57 20 5 46
Democrat 6 76 17 2 314
Other/None 4 33 21 32 11
marital status
Married 29 46 21 3 447
Widow/Div/Sep 28 55 16 2 134
Never Married 17 68 15 0 97
NA/Ref 16 64 0 20 9
race and ethnicity
White 29 49 20 2 579
Black 14 76 10 0 28
Hispanic 10 64 18 8 37
Other 24 62 10 0 25
religious service attendance
More than once a week 18 52 25 5 53
Once a week 36 39 22 2 193
Once or twice a month 29 48 21 1 116
A few times a year 26 49 19 4 99
Seldom 24 57 16 0 111
Never 16 70 12 2 107
Don't know 39 61 0 0 3
religious preference
Born again Protestant 40 35 22 3 120
Mainline Protestant 23 54 18 3 196
Roman Catholic 31 45 23 1 184
No religion 12 71 12 3 107
Other religion 29 64 7 0 52
ideology
Very conservative 63 26 11 0 63
Conservative 44 28 24 3 221
Moderate 16 60 20 3 252
Liberal 2 81 16 0 85
Very liberal 0 94 6 0 43
Don't know 35 49 8 0 13
labor union membership
respondent 18 59 20 1 57
another household member 9 75 15 2 39
nobody in household 29 49 19 2 578
Don't know 35 53 13 0 6
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 14 72 13 1 54
Rest of MKE 29 45 22 3 220
MSN 17 61 15 6 126
GB/A 32 47 19 1 137
Rest of state 33 47 18 0 151

Q4: Economy over next year

Looking ahead, over the next year do you expect the economy to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
Get better Get worse Stay the same Don't know n
sex
Male 56 12 20 11 327
Female 40 22 21 17 361
age
18-29 41 19 21 19 84
30-44 47 21 26 5 143
45-59 49 17 20 14 180
60+ 50 14 18 17 278
education
Not HS 56 9 6 29 24
HS 54 6 22 16 172
Some Coll 50 21 18 10 128
AA 48 17 21 13 86
BA+ 42 23 22 11 269
income
Under $40k 46 21 17 16 141
$40k to $74k 48 16 22 12 219
$75k up 44 20 23 11 222
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 70 5 9 14 214
Independent 43 18 25 13 267
Democrat 31 29 27 12 195
Other/None 37 0 12 51 11
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 70 5 9 14 214
Lean Rep 63 7 16 12 103
Ind 32 28 21 16 46
Lean Dem 29 23 35 12 119
Dem 31 29 27 12 195
Other/None 37 0 12 51 11
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 68 6 12 13 317
Independent 32 28 21 16 46
Democrat 30 27 30 12 314
Other/None 37 0 12 51 11
marital status
Married 50 16 20 13 447
Widow/Div/Sep 46 19 22 13 134
Never Married 43 20 21 16 97
NA/Ref 25 0 15 60 9
race and ethnicity
White 48 16 22 13 579
Black 47 22 18 12 28
Hispanic 50 25 10 15 37
Other 58 19 12 10 25
religious service attendance
More than once a week 75 4 7 14 53
Once a week 50 12 21 16 193
Once or twice a month 52 16 21 10 116
A few times a year 48 18 18 15 99
Seldom 36 27 23 14 111
Never 41 22 27 10 107
Don't know 100 0 0 0 3
religious preference
Born again Protestant 64 7 17 11 120
Mainline Protestant 51 18 20 10 196
Roman Catholic 48 14 20 17 184
No religion 28 27 30 15 107
Other religion 45 25 18 12 52
ideology
Very conservative 76 2 8 12 63
Conservative 63 9 14 13 221
Moderate 42 18 25 14 252
Liberal 19 42 32 5 85
Very liberal 15 29 30 27 43
Don't know 59 10 0 32 13
labor union membership
respondent 48 21 22 8 57
another household member 33 44 13 9 39
nobody in household 49 15 21 14 578
Don't know 46 13 0 41 6
region of Wisconsin
MKE City 50 20 17 10 54
Rest of MKE 55 12 21 12 220
MSN 40 22 23 14 126
GB/A 45 19 20 16 137
Rest of state 45 17 20 16 151

Q5: Trump’s overall job

Donald Trump job approval, 2-category
Approve Disapprove Don't know n
sex
Male 52 45 2 327
Female 40 59 1 361
age
18-29 31 69 0 84
30-44 39 59 1 143
45-59 55 43 2 180
60+ 47 52 1 278
education
Not HS 46 47 8 24
HS 50 48 1 172
Some Coll 47 52 1 128
AA 56 43 1 86
BA+ 38 61 0 269
income
Under $40k 37 60 2 141
$40k to $74k 42 57 1 219
$75k up 49 50 1 222
party ID, leaners as independents
Republican 88 11 0 214
Independent 41 57 2 267
Democrat 5 95 1 195
Other/None 45 16 13 11
party ID, leaners separate
Rep 88 11 0 214
Lean Rep 83 15 1 103
Ind 38 55 7 46
Lean Dem 6 93 0 119
Dem 5 95 1 195
Other/None 45 16 13 11
party ID, leaners as partisans
Republican 87 12 0 317
Independent 38 55 7 46
Democrat 5 94 1 314
Other/None 45 16 13 11
marital status
Married 50 48 1 447
Widow/Div/Sep 46 52 2 134
Never Married 25 75 1 97
NA/Ref 24 64 12 9
race and ethnicity
White 48 51 1 579
Black 9 89 1 28
Hispanic 29 71 0 37
Other 50 43 7 25
religious service attendance
More than once a week 39 61 0 53
Once a week 55 43 1 193
Once or twice a month 52 46 1 116
A few times a year 52 47 1 99
Seldom 37 62 0 111
Never 28 70 2 107
Don't know 61 39 0 3
religious preference
Born again Protestant 73 26 1 120
Mainline Protestant 39 60 0 196
Roman Catholic 48 51 1 184
No religion 26 70 2 107
Other religion 36 62 1 52
ideology
Very conservative 93 6 0 63